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Any guess what-- USA-- will do now with --IRAN-- ?
as deadline have passed today and as UN security council have reported iran has failed to comply with nucelar enrichment halt. what you intellectual can see and predict,
what will happen in coming days. please comment.
5 Antworten
- Anonymvor 1 JahrzehntBeste Antwort
Since Natanz, the nuclear research facility is underground, simply a massive EMP explosion in the atmosphere to knock out all electronics would not be sufficient. If the Islamic leaders were a little less apocalyptic, perhaps a diplomatic solution might be found. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei wants to be the Shiite Caliph from Iran through Iraq to Lebanon. He needs to shift the balance of power in his favor.
Key European nations will meet with Iran in September in a last-ditch effort to seek a negotiated solution to the standoff over Tehran's refusal to freeze uranium enrichment, a senior U.N. diplomat said Thursday.
The UNSC will use diplomatic and economic sanctions including a ban on missile and nuclear technology to Tehran; international refusal to grant entry visas to those involved in Iran’s nuclear program and a freeze of their assets as well as a ban on investment in the country. Don't count on Russia and China to block that sanction vote.
U.S. Central Command is updating a target list for Iran. Retired Gen. McInerney advocates using B-2 stealth bombers, cruise missiles and jet fighters to conduct a one- or two-day bombing campaign to take out Iran's air defenses, military facilities and about 40 nuclear targets, which includes a Russian-built reactor and an enrichment plant at Bushehr. Israel has drafted plans for air strikes using long-range versions of the F-15 and F-16 fighters.
Iran claims that it wants enriched uranium for use in its nuclear power plant. Iran could use its oil to run its power plants but prefers to sell it for example, to China. However, it seems that Iran wants to change the balance of power in the Middle East. They want the nuclear bomb.
Mohammad Nabi Rudaki stated that 164 centrifuge sets are now enriching uranium up to 4.5 percent grade....to provide our industrial and power plant needs in nuclear fuel, we will soon embark on enriching uranium to the grade of 9 percent in 3000 centrifuge sets.
On August 22 Ali Larijani, hand delivered Iran's 21-page response to UNSC 1696 the package of incentives to dissuage Iran from uranium enrichment. Iran's top nuclear negotiator said that Tehran was ready to enter "serious negotiations" over its disputed nuclear program but did not say that it was willing to suspend uranium enrichment — the West's key demand. This was because the West had offered many economic incentives.
On August 19, Iran launched a large-scale area, sea and ground exercise he maneuver, the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali), which involved 12 divisions, army Chinook helicopters, unmanned planes, parachutists, electronic war units and special forces. Iran's state-run television reported that the new anti-aircraft system was tested "to make Iranian air space unsafe for our enemies."
On Sunday, August 20, in the Kashan desert about 250 kilometers southeast of the capital of Tehran, Iran tested the Saegheh missile which has a range of between 80 to 250 kilometers. Saegheh means lightning in Farsi. (The language of Iran is not Arabic and Iranians are not Arabs.)
Iran's arsenal also contains the Shahab-3 missile, which means "shooting star" in Farsi, and is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. It has a range of more than 2,000 kilometers and can reach Israel and US forces in the Middle East.
Iran's military test-fired a series of missiles during large-scale war games in the Persian Gulf in March and April, including a missile it claimed was not detectable by radar that can use multiple warheads to hit several targets simultaneously.
On August 23, 2006 an article about Iran's reply to the incentives proposal, that was posted on the Iranian Foreign Ministry-affiliated website , implied that Iran's nuclear technology had already reached the point of no return: "...
The following are excerpts from the Al-Borz report:
"It is expected that the first anniversary of the forming of the ninth government will be the date of the Ahmadinejad government's 'nuclear birth.'
"... Together with [the celebration of] the anniversary of the forming of the ninth cabinet, the president of the country [Mahmoud Ahmadinejad] will hold his third press conference... where he will answer questions from journalists from Iran and from abroad.
"In addition to detailing the activities of the government at the end of [its first] year, the head of the government [i.e. Ahmadinejad] will officially present Iran's positions on: economic and cultural matters, the nuclear dossier, the activities of nuclear research centers, and developments in the region."
If what Iran wanted was nuclear power, Iran could have opted for a "light water" nuclear power plant instead of the "heavy water" nuclear power plant at Arak. Also, it has been persistent to deter IAEA inspectors on certain properties which had been agreed to under the NPT (nuclear non-proliferation treaty.)
Ali Soltanieh, Iran's permanent representative to the IAEA, denied that Iran had refused UN inspectors' access to its underground nuclear facilities at Natanz in central Iran. Iran needs to enrich uranium as a peaceful, alternative energy source and has the right to do so under the NPT, according to Iranian officials. They have told the IAEA that the traces of enriched uranium came from equipment purchased from another country, which was already contaminated.
Iran does not allow for remote monitoring of the PFEP (Pilot Feul Enrichment Plant). Or monitoring of the PHRC (Physics Research Center). Or monitoring of the P-1 and P-2 centrifuges.
On August 31, the UNSC will review the report from the Director General of the IAEA regarding whether Iran has established full and sustained suspension of all uranium enrichment and research activities. Pending the outcome of the report the UNSC will vote on sanctions for Iran violating Resolution 1696 and adopt appropriate measures under Article 41 of Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations to persuade Iran to comply with Resolution 1696 and the requirements of the IAEA.
Quelle(n): http://www6.lexisnexis.com/publisher/EndUser?Actio... http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/iran_08-26-03.... http://www.iranwatch.org/international/IAEA/iaea-i... http://thewideawakes.org/archives/2006/08/21/iran-... http://www.iranwatch.org/international/UNSC/unsc-r... http://www.memri.org/bin/opener_latest.cgi?ID=SD12... http://www.tehrantimes.com/ http://www.tehrantimes.com/Description.asp?Da=8/31... http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic... http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3297902,... http://washingtontimes.com/national/20060831-12163... http://news.yahoo.com/fc/world/iran - vor 1 Jahrzehnt
Russia and china will veto the sanctions. The sanctions will start by USA and maybe by some European countries, but it will not be effective. Iran will continue with it's nuclear program and uranium enrichment just like the last 18 years. Even though USA says war is a possibility but because Iran will continue to make Iraq unstable USA will not be able to open another front .Iran will be a nuclear power after all and the world will regret why didn't do anything sooner.
- empfieldLv 4vor 5 Jahren
If united statesa. rather thought that Iran grew to become into on the verge of acquiring nuclear weapons it would look to make sense to attack them and invade in the previous they have this ability. in spite of the shown fact that if Iran stepped forward a nuclear gadget, with out the skill for delivering it onto American soil, then consistent with danger united statesa. might come to a decision to leave Iran on my own. i'm nonetheless uncertain notwithstanding if nuclear weapons is powerful or undesirable. There hasn`t been any significant wars between nuclear in a position international locations, so do nuclear weapons ward off wars? in spite of the shown fact that if a conflict did wreck out between 2 nuclear in a position international locations, the outcomes may be lots worse. So is nuclear weapons sturdy or undesirable? besides this is slightly a pointless question, on account which you could`t un-invent issues. How approximately India and Pakistan, they haven`t began a nuclear conflict, fortuitously.
- yahooLv 5vor 1 Jahrzehnt
I was pondering this myself due to the fact that this is a tricky situation so my guess is the folks in the middle east should go in there and disarm that country and not wait for the USA to have to go in and do their dirty work! This does not only effect the USA but all countries on this planet so it should be a global effort not a single commitment namely USA"S.
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- Anonymvor 1 Jahrzehnt
Impose sanctions.